Falling Temperatures Into Overnight

30. January 2018 · Comments Off on Falling Temperatures Into Overnight · Categories: Ice, snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags: ,
0.9" of new snow was recorded in Stewartsville

0.9″ of new snow was recorded in Stewartsville

Snow is over in western New Jersey except for a few flurries here and there. A coating to 1″ was received in western New Jersey as forecast.

A bigger concern is temperatures are starting to slowly fall this afternoon and are now below freezing in most of the area. Winds will pickup as well and gust 20-30 mph out of the NWS. Any melted snow or puddles could re-freeze later on and tonight if untreated so be careful!

Next system for us will be later on Thursday into Thursday night ending in the pre-dawn hours of Friday. This will be a cold front that will pass and have periods of rain. Depending on how fast the cold air comes in behind the cold front and if/where a low pressure system forms on the cold front will determine who and where any snow will occur. Right now this doesn’t look like a big deal and will be another coating to perhaps a few inches.

After that we need to keep an eye on Super Sunday night for another fast moving system. With lots of folks potentially attending parties, this will need to be watched.

Friday Morning Discussion

26. January 2018 · Comments Off on Friday Morning Discussion · Categories: weather discussion · Tags:
5 day forecast for western New Jersey

5 day forecast for western New Jersey

Chilly Friday morning will lead to a nice afternoon with light winds out of the south with a high near or just above 40’s. This sets the stage for a very nice Saturday with high in the low to mid 50’s! Clouds will increase later in the day Saturday and some rain will move in and last into early Sunday morning. Look for no more than 1/4″ rain. Sunday the rain should end by mid morning and still see temperatures in the 50’s before some colder weather arrives on Monday.

The yellow on the 5 day forecast above is a flood watch that is still in effect for places along the Delaware river. There is a lot of river ice in the river further to the north near Shawnee that is clogging up the river and causing water levels to rise.

The next chance of precipitation will be late Monday into Tuesday morning. It looks to be a weakening system that will be transferring its energy to another storm off shore. We have seen this several times this winter. This could give us a period of light snow over night Monday into Tuesday morning. So the Tuesday morning commute will need to be monitored.

I have a busy weekend and may not be able to update again until Sunday evening at the earliest. Have a great weekend!

Rainy Tuesday Morning

23. January 2018 · Comments Off on Rainy Tuesday Morning · Categories: weather discussion · Tags:
Overnight rainfall totals

Overnight rainfall totals

Everyone in western New Jersey woke up to rainy foggy conditions this morning. Stewartsville received almost a 1/3″ of rain while some other areas picked up more as seen on the map above.

Radar Tuesday morning

Radar Tuesday morning

There is more rain on the way today. We should see periods of rain until around mid day or early afternoon today. It could be foggy at times as well. Then cooler conditions tonight into Friday.

Monday Morning Weather Outlook

22. January 2018 · Comments Off on Monday Morning Weather Outlook · Categories: weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags:
5 Day forecast for western New Jersey

5 Day forecast for western New Jersey

First off congrats to all Eagles fan on the victory last night! Onto the Super Bowl!

Our weather this Monday morning while a little on the dreary side at least its on the warm side. We will see some rain showers today but most of the rain will hold off until late tonight. 36 is our average high temperatures this time of year but we will be above that today in the upper 40’s.

Rush hour Tuesday morning will be wet as periods of rain will be impacting our area. I expect to see about 1/2″ of rain in western New Jersey with some locations receiving up to 1″. We are still below normal on rain fall so it’s all welcome! With the rain we will have a very warm day tomorrow with high temperatures in the upper 50’s.

Cooler weather moves back in for Wednesday thru Friday but nothing too cold. Looking longer range we warm up for next weekend with a chance of rain on Sunday. Colder weather looks to return at some point in the first half of February.

Looking Out for January Thaw Part 2

18. January 2018 · Comments Off on Looking Out for January Thaw Part 2 · Categories: weather discussion, winter · Tags:
Western Jersey Low Temperatures Thursday Morning

Western Jersey Low Temperatures Thursday Morning

A cold morning in western New Jersey. Stewartsville was down to 10 and many locations further north in the single digits and some below zero! This is common after a storm with snow cover on the ground.

5 Day Weather Forecast

5 Day Weather Forecast

Today will be a mostly sunny day with a little breeze and temperatures in the low 30’s. Tomorrow will be even nicer with less wind and plenty of sunshine with highs in the upper 30’s. After that the weekend warms up to the mid to upper 40’s. Next chance of precipitation is late Monday into Tuesday.

6-10 day temperature outlook

6-10 day temperature outlook

6-10 day precipitation outlook

6-10 day precipitation outlook

Looking longer range we get a relaxation of the cold and below normal temperatures we’ve seen for the past several weeks. Temperatures look to average above normal until the end of the month and perhaps further. Our storm track will go to our west which will keep us on the warmer side that will feature some rain at times. This pattern could continue into the first week or so of February before colder temperatures return in general. This does not mean everyday will be warm and we won’t see any colder outbreaks. When cold air does arrive it looks to be not as strong and only last a day or two.

 

Last Band Of Light Snow

17. January 2018 · Comments Off on Last Band Of Light Snow · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags:
Last band of light snow moving thru western New Hersey as of 11:13 am

Last band of light snow moving thru western New Jersey as of 11:13 am

Once this moves through that should be it and conditions should start to improve. temperatures have dropped steadily this morning and Stewartsville is currently at 26.4 and falling. Winds have picked up to out of the NW gusting so far to 15 mph at 10:45.

Total snow in Stewartsville 3.8″

Light Snow Sneaks In Early

16. January 2018 · Comments Off on Light Snow Sneaks In Early · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:
Radar as of 8 am Tuesday morning

Radar as of 8 am Tuesday morning

Some light snow moved into western portions of western New Jersey this morning and coated the roads a couple of tenths of an inch. It doesn’t take much to make the roads slippery when they are cold.

In looking at the radar above the snow is light and there are some breaks. Right now the steadier snow is back in PA. Let’s see if this storm will be an over producer. Regardless most of the snow should come later today into the overnight.

Steadier Snow on Tuesday Not Until Evening-Overnight

15. January 2018 · Comments Off on Steadier Snow on Tuesday Not Until Evening-Overnight · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags:
One computer model suggesting steady snow does not move into western NJ until evening

One computer model suggesting steady snow does not move into western NJ until evening

Last post of this evening. Looking at some data that suggests only flurries or very light snow for western New Jersey tomorrow during the day with the steadier snow holding off until evening/overnight on Tuesday into Wednesday. Further to the west in PA they will see some light snow during the day.

If this verifies, it reduces the chance of schools closing early but might still result in any evening activities being cancelled and certainly a delay on Wednesday morning

Details on Snow for Tuesday Into Wednesday

15. January 2018 · Comments Off on Details on Snow for Tuesday Into Wednesday · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:
NWS Snow Totals for Tuesday into Wednesday morning

NWS Snow Totals for Tuesday into Wednesday morning

A winter weather advisory has been issued for Tuesday into early Wednesday morning. Computer model guidance has suggested a little more snow is going to fall from this system. The NWS is expecting 3-6″ of snow region wide.

Timing: While some light snow may start tomorrow morning, it should pick up in intensity Tuesday afternoon. Tuesday evening into the overnight is when most of the accumulations should take place. Snow should end early Wednesday morning.

My thoughts on amounts are now 2-4″ for most areas of western New Jersey with amounts closer to 6″ possible further north (mostly north of I-80)

Winter Weather Advisories in most of the region

Winter Weather Advisories in most of the region

Snow start times throughout the region

Snow start times throughout the region

IMPACTS: Tuesday evening commute and Wednesday morning commute

SCHOOL IMPACT: Possible early closings on Tuesday with no after school activities as well as delayed starts on Wednesday AM

 

 

Tuesday Snow Discussion

14. January 2018 · Comments Off on Tuesday Snow Discussion · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:

https://www.useloom.com/share/f62670694faa4a398051067f74892242

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