13. November 2018 · Comments Off on Wintry Weather Thursday · Categories: weather discussion

Thursday forecast

Colder air is arriving today to dry out the overnight rain. Winds will pick up and be clustery at times. We should see more tomorrow on Wednesday. There’s even a good chance we could see some snow flurries on Wednesday or even possibly a snow squall as some colder air arrives.

The we turn our attention to Thursday. A coastal storm will be approaching our area. We will start off cold but warmer air will slowly make it way into our area. We should start off as some wet snow that will mix with sleet and then eventually changeover to a cold rain. When the precipitation arrives will help determine how much, if any accumulation we receive.

NWS 5 day forecast

There’s a of of thing we need to keep in mind in determining if we will receive any accumulation of snow on Thursday:

  • This is the first event of the season. Yes its been cold out recently but not very cold. The ground is warm
  • Most of the precipitation on Thursday will be falling during the day. To get snow to accumulate during the day, especially in early and late season, you need it to snow very hard
  • As the heavier precipitation approaches later in the day, so will the warmer air that will eventually change us over to rain.

My initial thoughts are we will see a wintry mix during the day on Thursday. I think the roads will be fine. There may be some whitening on untreated surfaces. On those surfaces we could see a coating to perhaps 1″. More accumulate further to the north and west (up near I-80)

I’ll provide updates as they become available.

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