NWS Radar 2:45 pm

The amount of the early morning snow into western New Jersey was more than I anticipated. I was expecting just some flurries during the day on Tuesday with the precipitation arriving later as per my blog post late yesterday. Stewartsville received 0.1″ of new snow which was just enough to impact the morning commute. More snow was received north and west into PA. The above radar show the snow, which is still on the light side, just outside of western New Jersey with some of it now falling in northern Warren and Sussex counties. This snow will begin to move, albeit slowly, to the south and east overnight.

NWS Snow forecast

Weather computer models today are suggesting the snow arrival time will be anywhere from 8 pm to midnight from NW to SE. They are also suggesting the snow could be heavier to the north, especially north of I-80 as seen in the above graphic. My forecast is still for 2-4″ in western New Jersey, especially southern and eastern areas with 4-8″ further to the north.

In southern and eastern locations its possible the snow may start off as or be mixed with rain for a while in the beginning. As you might have noticed it has gone above freezing in some locations of western New Jersey today. As of right now it’s 33 degrees in Stewartsville. Once nightfall occurs and the precipitation arrives that will be enough to cool down the atmosphere to change to all snow.

The NWS has issued a winter storm warning for Sussex county for the additional snow forecast.