NWS Snow Total Wednesday

There are some very light flurries falling in part of western New Jersey this morning that will not amount to much if anything. Partly sunny skies should return later today and we will inch above freezing with a high in the mid 30’s.

Clouds will increase tonight and western New Jersey will see snow arriving in the 5-7 am time-frame. This storm will be similar to Sunday’s except we should get more snow on the front-end. Warmer air will be transported into the storm and the snow will mix with, then change to sleet and eventually rain as the day goes on. How fast the mix starts to happen will impact who gets how much snow. Typically southern areas see the mix and changeover first and then it moves slowly to the north and west.

My forecast for snow is 1-3″ for southern locations of western New Jersey and 2-4″ further north close to I-80 with some 3-6″ possible further to the north and west.

Ice forecast for Wednesday

Since Wednesday is a snow to sleet/freezing rain then rain, we need to think about ice accumulation potential. The map above shows nicely how there is more risk for this happening further to the north but the entire area will see at least some sleet and possibly freezing rain before the changeover to plain rain.

As of mid Tuesday morning, the only NWS watch, warning or advisory out for our area is to the north in Sussex county. I do expect a winter weather advisory to get issued at least for most of western New Jersey at some point today for Wednesday