Early Look at Saturday Night Snow

15. February 2018 · Comments Off on Early Look at Saturday Night Snow · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags:

NWS snow forecast for Saturday night

Confidence has increased that there will be some accumulating snow Saturday night into early Sunday morning. The big questions now is how much. There’s a good chance of warmer air not being too far from western New Jersey – especially eastern and southern locations so that will have to be watched.

Early forecast based on what I’m seeing right now is 2-4″

Until then today will be quite mild. If we can get some sun out today after this fog burns off, we can easily get high temperatures in the upper 50’s to near 60 or better.

Rain will return tonight and last into Friday morning. Friday will then be a transition day starting off near 50 but dropping temperatures as the day goes on. Friday night will be quite chilly as will Saturday by recent standards. The snow should hold off until Saturday evening as it looks now.

Sneaky Snow Saturday?

14. February 2018 · Comments Off on Sneaky Snow Saturday? · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags:

Storm threat late Saturday into Sunday

Keeping an eye on the potential for a sneaky fast moving snow threat for later Saturday into early Sunday morning. If the storm will be fast moving so if it does happen will not be the “big one.” It will be another nuisance snow if it happens. Saturday will be colder day compared to Friday – that is where the cold air will come from. If it does happen it should clear out for Sunday.

We’ll continue to keep an eye on this and keep you updated.

Special Weather Statement

07. February 2018 · Comments Off on Special Weather Statement · Categories: snow · Tags: 
NJZ007>010-PAZ060>062-103-105-071600-
Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Western Montgomery-Upper Bucks-
Including the cities of Washington, Morristown, Flemington,
Somerville, Reading, Allentown, Bethlehem, Easton, Collegeville,
Pottstown, Chalfont, and Perkasie
840 AM EST Wed Feb 7 2018

...POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH A BRIEF BURST OF HEAVY SNOW
FOLLOWED BY A WINTRY MIX ACROSS THE I-78 CORRIDOR...

At 830 AM...Moderate to heavy snow has overspread the Interstate
78 corridor in central and northern New Jersey and in eastern
Pennsylvania. Snowfall rates of one inch per hour are possible in
spots during the mid morning before the snow changes to a mix of
sleet and freezing rain from south to north through 10 AM. Most of
the region should see a transition to all freezing rain between
10 and 11 AM.

Plan on poor travel conditions for the tail end of the morning
rush with poor visibility and with snow quickly accumulating on
roads in heavy snow. Icy conditions will follow into the late
morning after the changeover to sleet and freezing rain.

Moderate Snow Underway

07. February 2018 · Comments Off on Moderate Snow Underway · Categories: snow · Tags:
Radar shows heavy snow in western New Jersey

Radar shows heavy snow in western New Jersey

Dark blues are moderate to heavy snow. Note the reds in southern Hunterdon county and points east. That is sleet and/or freezing rain. Freezing rain reported in Trenton already and Philly

Snow To Rain On Wednesday

07. February 2018 · Comments Off on Snow To Rain On Wednesday · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags:
Snow overspreads into western New Jersey

Snow overspreads into western New Jersey

Snow has moved into western New Jersey as of early this Wednesday morning. Look for the snow to pick up in intensity at times. Notice the pink in the bottom of the radar map above along with the green out to the west. This is showing there is warmth moving north into this storm. I expect mixed precipitation to start in southern areas as early as late morning.

NWS snow forecast

NWS snow forecast

I’m still confident of my 1-3″ snow forecast for western New Jersey. There could be a little more further to the north and west where the changeover will occur later.

Updates throughout the day.

Winter Weather Advisory for Wednesday

06. February 2018 · Comments Off on Winter Weather Advisory for Wednesday · Categories: snow, winter · Tags:
Winter weather advisory for western NJ

Winter weather advisory for western NJ

Warren-Morris-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Including the cities of Washington, Morristown, Reading,
Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton
337 PM EST Tue Feb 6 2018

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of
  2 to 4 inches and ice accumulations of up to one-tenth inch
  are expected.

* WHERE...The Lehigh Valley in Pennsylvania, and Warren and Morris
  Counties in New Jersey.

* WHEN...Precipitation is expected to begin as snow late tonight
  and may become heavy at times during the morning commute on
  Wednesday. Snow will change to a wintry mix of sleet and
  freezing rain late in the morning and continue through the
  afternoon hours. Precipitation may transition to rain late in
  the afternoon and early evening, especially in the warmer
  valleys.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Plan on slippery road conditions, including
  during the morning and evening commutes on Wednesday. Be
  prepared for reduced visibilities at times, especially in the
  morning when snowfall rates of one inch per hour may occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Winter Weather Advisory means that periods of snow, sleet or
freezing rain will cause travel difficulties. Be prepared for
slippery roads and limited visibilities, and use caution while
driving. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling
from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

Tuesday Weather Update On Next Storm

06. February 2018 · Comments Off on Tuesday Weather Update On Next Storm · Categories: snow, weather discussion, weather forecast, winter · Tags:
NWS Snow Total Wednesday

NWS Snow Total Wednesday

There are some very light flurries falling in part of western New Jersey this morning that will not amount to much if anything. Partly sunny skies should return later today and we will inch above freezing with a high in the mid 30’s.

Clouds will increase tonight and western New Jersey will see snow arriving in the 5-7 am time-frame. This storm will be similar to Sunday’s except we should get more snow on the front-end. Warmer air will be transported into the storm and the snow will mix with, then change to sleet and eventually rain as the day goes on. How fast the mix starts to happen will impact who gets how much snow. Typically southern areas see the mix and changeover first and then it moves slowly to the north and west.

My forecast for snow is 1-3″ for southern locations of western New Jersey and 2-4″ further north close to I-80 with some 3-6″ possible further to the north and west.

Ice forecast for Wednesday

Ice forecast for Wednesday

Since Wednesday is a snow to sleet/freezing rain then rain, we need to think about ice accumulation potential. The map above shows nicely how there is more risk for this happening further to the north but the entire area will see at least some sleet and possibly freezing rain before the changeover to plain rain.

As of mid Tuesday morning, the only NWS watch, warning or advisory out for our area is to the north in Sussex county. I do expect a winter weather advisory to get issued at least for most of western New Jersey at some point today for Wednesday

Monday Weather Briefing

05. February 2018 · Comments Off on Monday Weather Briefing · Categories: snow, weather discussion, winter · Tags:

Congrats to Eagles!

First off congrats to the Philadelphia Eagles football team and their fans! Well played an engaging game to watch which can’t be said for every Super Bowl.

Temperature drop Monday morning

Temperature drop Monday morning

Most schools are delayed this morning in western New Jersey. Good thing as there was a noticeable temperature drop and winds picked up when a secondary cold front passed through this morning. Temperatures are now below freezing and gusty winds. Stewartsville recorded a wind gust to 30 mph at 7:30 am.

NWS snow forecast for Wednesday

NWS snow forecast for Wednesday

Today and tomorrow will be seasonable cold and breezy days with partly sunny skies. Then we need to turn our attention to Wednesday. It looks to be a repeat of Sunday’s weather with perhaps more snow on the front end. Start time of precipitation looks just before the morning commute. Timing out the changeover times will be key and looked at in the days ahead. My early thoughts are 1-3″ of snow before the changeover with more snow to the north.

Snow Has Started

04. February 2018 · Comments Off on Snow Has Started · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:

Snow has started

Snow has started throughout western New Jersey and has left a coating on the ground. I wanted to point out to anyone that is traveling west today into PA that PA has winter weather advisories up. They have a similar forecast to us except the snow will hold on a touch longer.

Warmer air is already starting to show up on radar and it’s raining in Trenton, NJ. We will switch from snow to rain before the game starts.

NWS Radar as of 1 pm

NWS Radar as of 1 pm

Southern portions of our area will start mixing with sleet and rain within the next hour or two. Trenton and Philly are all rain.

Super Sunday Forecast

04. February 2018 · Comments Off on Super Sunday Forecast · Categories: snow, weather discussion · Tags:

Super Sunday

Today’s the day. Lots of parties going on later today so let’s talk about the weather

NWS Snow Forecast

NWS Snow Forecast

Look for snow or a wintry mix to arrive by late morning today. The snow will accumulate to a coating to 1″ before starting to mix with sleet and rain and then changeover to plain rain. The rain could become moderate to heavy at times around kick off and then taper off before the game ends. Further to the north and west could see an 1″ or slightly more before the changeover to rain.

If you’re driving please drive sober and enjoy the day!

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