SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON- MONROE-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN... FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...JIM THORPE... STROUDSBURG...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...CHALFONT... PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN 312 PM EST SUN FEB 14 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 2 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MONDAY TO 2 AM EST TUESDAY. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN BY LATE MORNING MID MORNING MONDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY. THE SNOW WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN MONDAY EVENING. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED BEFORE AN EVENTUAL CHANGEOVER TO RAIN BY TUESDAY MORNING. EARLY MORNING TEMPERATURES WILL BE VERY COLD, IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS IN MOST LOCATIONS. THEY ARE EXPECTED TO RISE INTO THE 30S DURING THE AFTERNOON AND REMAIN STEADY OR CONTINUE TO RISE MONDAY NIGHT. * MAIN IMPACT...THE COMBINATION OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND AROUND 0.25 INCHES OF ICE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE ADVISORY AREA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING OUR TRAINED SPOTTER LINE...POSTING TO THE NWS MOUNT HOLLY FACEBOOK PAGE...OR USING TWITTER @NWS_MOUNTHOLLY. SNOWFALL AND ICE ACCUMULATION FORECAST MAPS IN ADDITION TO EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILISTIC SNOWFALL INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST EVENT ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PHI/WINTER &&
Frigid start to Valentine’s Day 2016 in western New Jersey
The official low temperature in Stewartsville was 0 this morning. I’m sure there were several stations further north and west in western New Jersey that were -5 to -10 this morning. Brrr!
NWS “most likely” snow forecast for Monday into Monday night before changeover to ice and rain on Tuesday
We will have another cold night tonight but not as bad as last night. Winds have slacked off and will go calm this evening. For the first part of tonight, look for temperatures to fall sharply. They should start to level off as high thin clouds begin to increase as the result of our next weather maker.
Look for light snow to overspread the western New Jersey area by mid day on Monday. Snow should be light to moderate at time Monday afternoon into the evening. At this time I’m forecasting 1-3″ of snow before a change over to ice and rain. Higher numbers will be to the north and west and less to the south and east.
NWS 7 day forecast for western New Jersey
Believe it or not, even with all this frigid air over our area now we are talking about rain on Tuesday. A storm is expected to move up the coast Monday into Tuesday and either go over us or more likely to our West. That will put western New Jersey on the warm side of the storm. Look for snow Monday evening and overnight to first mix with sleet and freezing rain then change completely over to rain before Tuesday morning. rain on Tuesday could be heavy at times with 1-2″ of rain forecast. This could result in some street and river flooding since the ground is so frozen right now.
Looking longer range we warm up a little by the weekend and that will continue into next week but colder weather looks to return the last week of the month
Keep in mind we are also under a wind chill advisory. So in other words it’s going to be crazy cold today!
341 AM EST SAT FEB 13 2016 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 TO 50 MPH. * TIMING...WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...A POSSIBILITY OF A FEW BROKEN TREE LIMBS AND ASSOCIATED POWER OUTAGES. DRIVING WILL BE DIFFICULT AT TIMES... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION. LIGHT-WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS PATIO FURNITURE AND GARBAGE CANS SHOULD BE SECURED.
Last warning: It’s going to be a FRIGID weekend – especially Saturday. Bundle up!
236 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 9 AM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM SATURDAY TO 9 AM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY, A LARGE PORTION OF MARYLAND`S EASTERN SHORE AS WELL AS THE NORTH AND CENTRAL PORTION OF DELAWARE. * WIND CHILL...10 TO 18 BELOW ZERO...WITH NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH GUSTING TO NEARLY 40 MPH. * TIMING...WIND CHILLS WILL BEGIN TO DROP TO DANGEROUS LEVELS LATE SATURDAY WITH THE COLDEST VALUES BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND SUNRISE SUNDAY. WIND CHILLS WILL SLOWLY EASE BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...WIND CHILL VALUES POTENTIALLY REACHING DANGEROUS LEVELS. THE VERY LOW WIND CHILLS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN HYPOTHERMIA IF CARE IS NOT TAKEN TO STAY WARM AND SHELTERED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES.
Today is just a preview of what Saturday will be like…
202 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016
…MAJOR OUTBREAK OF ARCTIC AIR THIS WEEKEND…
BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES AND DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.
* TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WILL FALL TO
BETWEEN ZERO AND 5 ABOVE IN AND AROUND PHILADELPHIA AND AREAS
SOUTH AND EAST, ZERO TO 5 BELOW IN EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY, AND AS LOW AS 12 BELOW IN THE POCONOS. WIND
CHILL VALUES DURING THIS TIME COULD REACH LIFE THREATENING LEVELS
AS COLD AS 15 TO 30 BELOW ZERO, WITH THE COLDEST IN THE POCONOS.
* HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE TEENS, EXCEPT
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE POCONOS.
* COLD SPELLS OF THIS MAGNITUDE BRING A RISK OF FROSTBITE AND
HYPOTHERMIA FOR ANYONE WHO DOES NOT TAKE PROPER PRECAUTIONS. IN
ADDITION, FROZEN PIPES AND OVERWORKED FURNACES COULD LEAVE YOUR
HOUSE WITHOUT HEAT OR RUNNING WATER, AND CAR BATTERIES RUN THE
RISK OF DYING. IN ADDITION, MAKE SURE YOUR HOME AND CAR HAVE
PLENTY OF FUEL.
* NEVER VENTURE OUTDOORS WITHOUT WEARING GLOVES, A HAT AND SEVERAL
LAYERS OF CLOTHING. WIND CHILL VALUES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING COULD LEAD TO FROSTBITE IN LESS THAN 30 MINUTES
IF PROPER PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. CHECK ON YOUR ELDERLY
NEIGHBORS TO BE SURE THEY ARE OKAY.
* RUN WATER AT A TRICKLE AND KEEP CABINET DOORS OPEN TO PREVENT
PIPES FROM FREEZING, ESPECIALLY FOR EXPOSED PIPES AND THOSE ALONG
EXTERIOR WALLS.
* NEVER USE A STOVE OR OVEN TO HEAT YOUR HOME OR USE AN OPEN FLAME
TO MELT FROZEN PIPES. MANY HOUSE FIRES RESULT FROM THESE PRACTICES.
* CHECK TIRE PRESSURE AND YOUR CAR BATTERY. BE SURE YOUR CAR HAS A
WINTER SAFETY KIT THAT INCLUDES A BLANKET, WARM CLOTHES AND GLOVES
IN CASE YOUR CAR BREAKS DOWN OR BECOMES STRANDED.
* TAKE EXTRA STEPS TO KEEP YOUR PETS WARM AND KNOW THEIR LIMITS TO
THE COLD.
Stewartsville received 2″ of new snow from both yesterday morning and overnight last night. Other areas in western New Jersey received about the same. More to the south and less to the north.
The next weather headline is that very cold air is on the way for this weekend. We have a good chance of going to zero or below Sunday morning. Saturday will be very blustery. All this will start with the arrival of another arctic cold front Friday during the day. This may be accompanied by some snow showers or snow squalls.
Bundle up and plan accordingly!
The latest snowfall forecast map from the NWS is included above. I’m in agreement with their forecast for western New Jersey of 1-3″ with the higher numbers to the south and less to the north. A winter weather advisory is issued by the NWS for Hunterdon county.
Light snow fell overnight in portions of western New Jersey. Stewartsville received 0.3″. An area of light snow is now moving into western New Jersey. This will last for an hour or two and provide a coating of snow on colder surfaces.
The snow today will be on an off – it will not be snowing all day. There will be some breaks. During these breaks the temperature should go into the mid 30’s which should allow for what falls to start melting.
The biggest change for today’s forecast is the periods of snow look to continue into the evening hours and could last till near midnight. This is when we might pick up the most accumulating snow from the event. Once the sun sets and the temperature drops, whatever falls then will stick.
Updates as warranted and time permits.
A light snowfall is in the forecast for Tuesday for western New Jersey. More snow will fall to our south. At this time I’m expecting 1-3″ for western New Jersey. I had the “pleasure” of driving through this storm early today in Ohio. It was more intense than I thought it would be. Within 1 10 minute drive the left lane was covered and visibility greatly reduced. One hour later the snow had let up considerable so it wasn’t a big event – just enough to slow things down a little
Well we are past Groundhog Day. Either way you look at it, winter is half over. The PA rodent thinks we will have an early spring. Hopefully he’s right!
Today we will see periods of rain with a high near 60. Today will also be WINDY with some gust reaching 35-40 mph. Don’t be surprised if you hear a rumble of thunder later in the day. We are expecting 1/2″ to 1″ of rain. The rain should do a number on the 5″ of remaining snow in western New Jersey. It will also add to flooding concerns. Right now as long as we get under 1.5″ of rain we should be OK. Some local streams and creeks will rise but the big rivers look to be OK.
Speaking of snow cover, the beautiful day yesterday resulted in a nice looking satellite photo of the snow cover in our area. It amazes me how in early February there is no snow on the ground in upstate NY north of NYC and in northern PA!
But will the melting snow be replenished soon? Computer models are starting to indicate that early next week will be active. The warm weather of today will be replaced with more seasonable weather along with a favorable jet stream for Western New Jersey.
I will try and keep you updated but I will be quite busy the rest of the week into early next week.
We still have 7-8″ of snow in southern section of western New Jersey. the warm weather of the last few days has allowed some of it to melt slowly chich is what we want. But Wednesday will bring about 1″ of rain to western New Jersey.
The NWS has issued a flood watch for southern portions of western New Jersey. Make sure storm drains a leaders from gutters are cleared so rain has someplace to go instead of your basement! The flood watch could be extended further north.
FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 332 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016 ...FLOODING POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY... .STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK FROM THE GREAT LAKES INTO QUEBEC WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BE OFF THE COAST BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE COMBINATION OF RAIN AND MELTING SNOW COULD PRODUCE FLOODING. DEZ001-NJZ009-010-012-013-015>019-PAZ060-061-070-071-101>106- 020445- /O.NEW.KPHI.FA.A.0001.160203T1700Z-160204T2200Z/ /00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ NEW CASTLE-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER- SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER- WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE... NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO... CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...READING... ALLENTOWN...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD... WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN... NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE... DOYLESTOWN 332 PM EST MON FEB 1 2016 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW JERSEY AND PENNSYLVANIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHERN DELAWARE...NEW CASTLE. IN NEW JERSEY...CAMDEN...GLOUCESTER... HUNTERDON...MERCER...MIDDLESEX...NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON... SALEM...SOMERSET AND WESTERN MONMOUTH. IN PENNSYLVANIA... BERKS...DELAWARE...EASTERN CHESTER...EASTERN MONTGOMERY... LEHIGH...LOWER BUCKS...PHILADELPHIA...UPPER BUCKS...WESTERN CHESTER AND WESTERN MONTGOMERY. * FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * THE COMBINATION OF MELTING SNOW AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN COULD PRODUCE WIDESPREAD LOW-LYING, POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MINOR TO MODERATE RIVER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY ACROSS THE RARITAN AND PASSAIC BASINS OF NEW JERSEY AND THE SCHUYLKILL BASIN IN PENNSYLVANIA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. &&
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